Lung Cancer Prediction Tool Calculates a long-term smoker's risk of developing lung cancer in the next 10 years 
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This prediction tool can assess a long-term smoker's risk of developing lung cancer in the next 10 years based on the person's age, sex, smoking history, and asbestos exposure. Knowing about risk can help clinicians and patients make decisions about health care, such as whether to get screened for lung cancer.
Our research shows that among long-term smokers over the age of 50, risks of developing lung cancer can vary. However, the lung cancer risk of a person who has never smoked is typically much lower than the lowest percentages calculated by this tool. Quitting smoking not only reduces risk of lung cancer, but reduces risk of many other smoking-related health problems.
Who Can Use This Tool?
The tool can assess lung cancer risk of people who meet all of these conditions:
- Age: 50 to 75 years old
- Smoking History: 10 to 60 cigarettes a day for 25 to 55 years
- Current Status: Current smokers, and former smokers who quit 20 years ago or less
How Was This Tool Developed?