Stomach (Gastric) Cancer Prediction Tools

Stomach (Gastric) Cancer Prediction Tools


Our gastric carcinoma nomogram is an online tool. It can help patients and their doctors predict the results of your surgery for gastric cancer.

This nomogram should only be used for people who had complete resection surgery. This surgery removes all tissue that has cancer.

This tool can predict the chances you will survive for 5 years, and 9 years, after the surgery.

Who can use this tool?

MSK’s stomach cancer nomogram is for people who had a curative resection (R0 resection) for gastric carcinoma. This surgery must have been done within the past 6 months.

The nomogram is for people whose only treatment for stomach cancer was a complete resection. It may not be for people who had chemotherapy or radiation therapy before or after a complete resection.

If you’re a patient, please talk to your doctor about the results of this tool. It’s important to understand the results and what they mean for your care plan. It should only be used with help from your doctor.

Why is this tool useful?

It’s important to have an idea about your chances for surviving surgery as a treatment for stomach cancer. This information can help people with stomach cancer and their doctors choose the best treatment plan after surgery.

This nomogram can help predict someone’s treatment results after complete resection surgery. It estimates the chances you will survive for 5 years, and 9 years, after this treatment.

The results from MSK’s stomach cancer nomogram are based on data from our patients. MSK’s surgeons do a high volume of gastric cancer surgeries. This gives us a lot of information about surgery treatment results.

What information will you need?

To make an accurate prediction, the nomogram needs:

  • Age: The person’s current age
  • Tumor size: The size, from 0.001 cm. to 20 cm.
  • Gender: Assigned male or female at birth
  • Primary location of tumor: Antrum/pyloric, middle third, GE junction, middle third
  • Tumor histology: Pathologist’s assessment of the tumor cell type (diffuse, intestinal, or mixed)
  • Depth of tumor invasion: Level in the stomach, or how deeply the tumor has penetrated other organs.
  • Percentage of positive nodes: Number of positive (with cancer) samples taken during a biopsy.
  • Percentage of negative nodes: Number of negative (no cancer) samples taken during a biopsy.

Use our Gastric Cancer: Disease-Specific Survival Following Surgery nomogram.

Contact us

Please email us at [email protected] if you have questions or comments.

Cure rates after surgery

People who learn they have stomach cancer want to know if they will survive the disease. Survival (cure) rates after your treatment depend on many things. Examples are:

  • The stage of stomach cancer
  • Whether the cancer has spread beyond the stomach
  • Your general health
  • The type of surgery you had

In general, the earlier stomach cancer is found and treated, the better the chances of curing the cancer. But stomach cancer often is found at later stages, when it’s very hard to cure.

What is a survival rate?

Doctors collect information, called statistics, about how long people live after stomach cancer treatment. This information is collected over many years, from many people.

Most often, you will hear a statistic called a 5-year survival rate. The survival rate tells you what percent of people are alive 5 years after they learned they had cancer.

This information is collected from people who all had the same type and stage of stomach cancer. Then, it’s compared with people in general, not just to people with cancer.

For example, the 5-year relative survival rate for people with metastatic (late-stage) stomach cancer is low, only 7%. That means out of every 100 people diagnosed with this type of advanced stomach cancer, only 7 will still be alive in 5 years. In general, they’re much less likely to be alive in 5 years than people like them who did not have stomach cancer.

Survival rates are only estimates. People do not respond the same way to treatment.

It’s important to have regular follow-up visits with your healthcare provider after surgery. They will monitor (watch) for any signs the stomach cancer has come back.

Cure rates after stomach cancer surgery

Here are the 5-year survival rates estimates, according to the stage when stomach cancer was diagnosed:

  • Localized stomach cancer (cancer is only in the stomach): 75%. That means out of every 100 people with this stage of stomach cancer, 75 will be alive 5 years later.
  • Regional stomach cancer (cancer has spread to lymph nodes or organs): 35%. That means out of every 100 people with this stage of stomach cancer, 35 will be alive 5 years later.
  • Metastatic stomach cancer (cancer has spread to parts far from the stomach): 7%.

Please talk with your doctor about MSK’s nomogram and how it can predict survival results.

Request an Appointment

Call 800-525-2225
Available Monday through Friday, to (Eastern time)